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CSX vs XLI: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, CSX Corporation (CSX) and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) carry a correlation of 0.62, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.62
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.43
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.68
long-run
Ann. covariance
191.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CSX and XLI?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of CSX and XLI correlate at 0.62, strong. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.43 versus 0.62 over 3 years. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.68, with an annualized covariance of 191.4 %².

Among the 30 assets we track against CSX, XLI ranks #6 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months CSX outperformed by 42.3 percentage points (+60.6% for CSX against +18.3% for XLI). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.43 and 0.81, a moderate band.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CSX vs XLI: side by side

CSX (CSX Corporation)XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+60.6%+18.3%
5-year return+66.2%+84.0%
Volatility (ann.)19.7%15.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.620.89
Max drawdown (3Y)-29.4%-18.5%
Market cap$95.5B
P/E (trailing)30.1
Dividend yield1.04%1.15%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$32.9B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsSector ETF
Higher yield: XLI 1.15% vs 1.04%Smaller drawdown: XLI -18.5% vs -29.4%Higher 5y return: XLI +84.0% vs +66.2%

XLI is an Industrials fund from State Street Investment Management: $32.9B under management, 83 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.15% trailing dividend yield.

-0%0%+65%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). CSX · XLI

Year-by-year returns

YearCSXXLI
2022-16.6%-5.6%
2023+13.5%+18.1%
2024-5.6%+17.3%
2025+14.1%+19.3%
2026+43.1%+15.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLI holds CSX at a 1.7% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are CSX and XLI good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.62 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CSX and XLI?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between CSX and XLI is 0.62 over 3 years, 0.43 over 1 year and 0.68 over 5 years.

Is XLI a good diversifier for CSX?

To a limited degree. At 0.62 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.62 mean?

A reading of 0.62 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/csx-vs-xli.json

CSX vs XLI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.62CSX vs XLI0.62

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Related comparisons

Hubs: CSX correlations · XLI correlations