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COP vs USO: Correlation

ConocoPhillips (COP) and United States Oil Fund (USO) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.60.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.60
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.61
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.65
long-run
Ann. covariance
687.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are COP and USO?

Over the past 3 years, COP and USO moved with a correlation of 0.60, which is strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.61 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.65, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 687.0 %².

Within COP's tracked universe of 40 assets, USO comes in at #24 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months USO outperformed by 37.6 percentage points (+36.5% for COP against +74.1% for USO). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.44 and 0.80, a moderate band.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

COP vs USO: side by side

COP (ConocoPhillips)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return+36.5%+74.1%
5-year return+175.2%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)29.1%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.25-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-36.3%-32.5%
Market cap$155.6B
P/E (trailing)17.3
Dividend yield2.53%
Sector / categoryEnergyETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: USO -32.5% vs -36.3%Higher 5y return: COP +175.2% vs +168.6%
-7%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). COP · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearCOPUSO
2022+71.7%+29.0%
2023+2.0%-4.9%
2024-12.2%+13.4%
2025-2.3%-8.5%
2026+41.4%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are COP and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.60 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

FAQ

What is the correlation between COP and USO?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.60 over 3 years, with 0.61 over the last year and 0.65 over 5 years.

Is USO a good diversifier for COP?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.60 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

What does a correlation of 0.60 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.60 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/cop-vs-uso.json

COP vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation 0.60COP vs USO0.60

Drop this badge in a README or notebook; it updates with the data:

[![COP vs USO correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/cop-vs-uso.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/cop-vs-uso/)

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Related comparisons

Hubs: COP correlations · USO correlations