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COP vs SHY: Correlation

How closely do ConocoPhillips (COP) and iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.28, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.28
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.43
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.14
long-run
Ann. covariance
-12.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are COP and SHY?

On 3 years of weekly data the COP/SHY correlation comes out at -0.28, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.43 versus -0.28 over 3 years. The 5-year figure is -0.14, and annualized covariance runs at -12.6 %².

SHY is close to the least connected end of COP's tracked universe, ranking #39 of 40. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months COP outperformed by 34.0 percentage points (+36.5% for COP against +2.5% for SHY). This link changes with the market regime, having swung between -0.54 and 0.02 on a rolling one-year basis. Risk is not evenly split, since COP carries 18.2 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

COP vs SHY: side by side

COP (ConocoPhillips)SHY (iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF)
1-year return+36.5%+2.5%
5-year return+175.2%+9.6%
Volatility (ann.)29.1%1.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.250.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-36.3%-1.0%
Market cap$155.6B
P/E (trailing)17.3
Dividend yield2.53%3.65%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$25.1B
Sector / categoryEnergyETF · Bonds
Higher yield: SHY 3.65% vs 2.53%Smaller drawdown: SHY -1.0% vs -36.3%Higher 5y return: COP +175.2% vs +9.6%

SHY, iShares's Short Government fund, carries $25.1B under management, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 3.65% trailing dividend yield.

-7%0%+50%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. COP · SHY

Year-by-year returns

YearCOPSHY
2022+71.7%-3.9%
2023+2.0%+4.2%
2024-12.2%+3.9%
2025-2.3%+5.0%
2026+41.4%+1.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are COP and SHY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.28, COP and SHY have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between COP and SHY?

The COP/SHY correlation stands at -0.28 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.43, 5 years: -0.14), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is SHY a good diversifier for COP?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.28, COP and SHY have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.28 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/cop-vs-shy.json

COP vs SHY: 3-year weekly correlation -0.28COP vs SHY-0.28

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Related comparisons

Hubs: COP correlations · SHY correlations