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COIN vs XLY: Correlation

Coinbase (COIN) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.51.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.51
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.40
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.57
long-run
Ann. covariance
802.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are COIN and XLY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of COIN and XLY correlate at 0.51, moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.40) runs below the 3-year figure (0.51). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.57, with an annualized covariance of 802.3 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLY places #11 of the 34 assets tracked against COIN. The last year tells two different stories: XLY led by 38.2 percentage points, -38.3% for COIN against -0.1% for XLY. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.33 and 0.68 over the past three years, a moderate range. Note the risk asymmetry: COIN runs 4.1 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

COIN vs XLY: side by side

COIN (Coinbase)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-38.3%-0.1%
5-year return-27.4%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)80.0%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5002.661.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-66.4%-26.0%
Market cap$50.3B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryFinancialsSector ETF
Higher yield: XLY 0.78% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -66.4%Higher 5y return: XLY +31.8% vs -27.4%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-51%0%+27%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). COIN · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearCOINXLY
2022-86.0%-36.3%
2023+391.4%+39.6%
2024+42.8%+26.5%
2025-8.9%+7.4%
2026-15.7%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are COIN and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.51 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

FAQ

What is the correlation between COIN and XLY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between COIN and XLY is 0.51 over 3 years, 0.40 over 1 year and 0.57 over 5 years.

Is XLY a good diversifier for COIN?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.51 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

What does a correlation of 0.51 mean?

A reading of 0.51 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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COIN vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.51COIN vs XLY0.51

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Hubs: COIN correlations · XLY correlations