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CME vs MTH: Correlation

CME Group (CME) and Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.25.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.25
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.37
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.06
long-run
Ann. covariance
-196.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CME and MTH?

On 3 years of weekly data the CME/MTH correlation comes out at -0.25, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.37) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.25). The 5-year figure is -0.06, and annualized covariance runs at -196.5 %².

By 3-year correlation, MTH places #40 of the 47 assets tracked against CME. The last year tells two different stories: CME led by 15.1 percentage points, +8.1% for CME against -7.0% for MTH. Note the risk asymmetry: MTH runs 1.9 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CME vs MTH: side by side

CME (CME Group)MTH (Meritage Homes Corporation)
1-year return+8.1%-7.0%
5-year return+73.9%+34.0%
Volatility (ann.)20.0%39.0%
Beta vs S&P 5000.120.90
Max drawdown (3Y)-31.1%-43.0%
Market cap$101.0B$4.6B
P/E (trailing)23.815.0
Dividend yield1.82%2.52%
Sector / categoryFinancialsUS Listed
Lower P/E: MTH 15.0 vs 23.8Higher yield: MTH 2.52% vs 1.82%Smaller drawdown: CME -31.1% vs -43.0%Higher 5y return: CME +73.9% vs +34.0%
-28%0%+23%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). CME · MTH

Year-by-year returns

YearCMEMTH
2022-22.9%-24.5%
2023+31.3%+90.5%
2024+15.4%-10.2%
2025+19.8%-12.3%
2026+5.9%+8.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are CME and MTH good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.25, CME and MTH have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CME and MTH?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between CME and MTH is -0.25 over 3 years, -0.37 over 1 year and -0.06 over 5 years.

Is MTH a good diversifier for CME?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.25, CME and MTH have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.25 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.25 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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CME vs MTH: 3-year weekly correlation -0.25CME vs MTH-0.25

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Hubs: CME correlations · MTH correlations