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CME vs ICE: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, CME Group (CME) and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) carry a correlation of 0.47, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.47
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.57
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.55
long-run
Ann. covariance
198.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CME and ICE?

Over the past 3 years, CME and ICE moved with a correlation of 0.47, which is moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.57 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.55, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 198.3 %².

Few assets follow CME as closely as ICE, which ranks #2 of 47 tracked partners. The last year tells two different stories: CME led by 16.0 percentage points, +8.1% for CME against -7.9% for ICE. Do not treat this figure as fixed: across three years the rolling one-year correlation ranged all the way from 0.07 to 0.62.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CME vs ICE: side by side

CME (CME Group)ICE (Intercontinental Exchange)
1-year return+8.1%-7.9%
5-year return+73.9%+44.2%
Volatility (ann.)20.0%21.2%
Beta vs S&P 5000.120.62
Max drawdown (3Y)-31.1%-33.9%
Market cap$101.0B$90.5B
P/E (trailing)23.822.7
Dividend yield1.82%1.24%
Sector / categoryFinancialsFinancials
Lower P/E: ICE 22.7 vs 23.8Higher yield: CME 1.82% vs 1.24%Smaller drawdown: CME -31.1% vs -33.9%Higher 5y return: CME +73.9% vs +44.2%
-28%0%+23%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). CME · ICE

Year-by-year returns

YearCMEICE
2022-22.9%-23.9%
2023+31.3%+27.1%
2024+15.4%+17.5%
2025+19.8%+9.9%
2026+5.9%+0.2%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are CME and ICE good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.47, CME and ICE keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CME and ICE?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between CME and ICE is 0.47 over 3 years, 0.57 over 1 year and 0.55 over 5 years.

Is ICE a good diversifier for CME?

Reasonably. At 0.47, CME and ICE keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.47 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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CME vs ICE: 3-year weekly correlation 0.47CME vs ICE0.47

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Related comparisons

Hubs: CME correlations · ICE correlations