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CINF vs MCY: Correlation

How closely do Cincinnati Financial (CINF) and Mercury General Corporation (MCY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.57, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.57
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.63
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.49
long-run
Ann. covariance
437.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CINF and MCY?

Over the past 3 years, CINF and MCY moved with a correlation of 0.57, which is moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.63) sits close to the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.49, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 437.2 %².

Within CINF's tracked universe of 49 assets, MCY comes in at #19 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months MCY outperformed by 19.6 percentage points (+14.5% for CINF against +34.1% for MCY). Note the risk asymmetry: MCY runs 1.7 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CINF vs MCY: side by side

CINF (Cincinnati Financial)MCY (Mercury General Corporation)
1-year return+14.5%+34.1%
5-year return+58.8%+99.9%
Volatility (ann.)21.6%35.8%
Beta vs S&P 5000.360.75
Max drawdown (3Y)-20.0%-40.0%
Market cap$26.5B
P/E (trailing)8.16.2
Dividend yield2.10%1.21%
Sector / categoryFinancialsUS Listed
Lower P/E: MCY 6.2 vs 8.1Higher yield: CINF 2.10% vs 1.21%Smaller drawdown: CINF -20.0% vs -40.0%Higher 5y return: MCY +99.9% vs +58.8%
0%+45%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. CINF · MCY

Year-by-year returns

YearCINFMCY
2022-7.9%-32.6%
2023+4.0%+13.6%
2024+42.5%+82.3%
2025+16.3%+44.1%
2026+6.8%+9.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are CINF and MCY good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.57 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CINF and MCY?

The CINF/MCY correlation stands at 0.57 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.63, 5 years: 0.49), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is MCY a good diversifier for CINF?

To a limited degree. At 0.57 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.57 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.57 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/cinf-vs-mcy.json

CINF vs MCY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.57CINF vs MCY0.57

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Hubs: CINF correlations · MCY correlations