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CHDN vs SPY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Churchill Downs, Incorporated (CHDN) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) carry a correlation of 0.38, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.38
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.19
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.47
long-run
Ann. covariance
149.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CHDN and SPY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of CHDN and SPY correlate at 0.38, moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.19) than the 3-year average (0.38). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.47, with an annualized covariance of 149.9 %².

Out of 11 assets tracked against CHDN, SPY lands near the bottom at #7. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with SPY ahead by 38.8 points (-18.2% versus +20.6%). Note the risk asymmetry: CHDN runs 1.9 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CHDN vs SPY: side by side

CHDN (Churchill Downs, Incorporated)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return-18.2%+20.6%
5-year return-16.1%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)27.4%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.721.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-43.9%-18.8%
Market cap$6.0B
P/E (trailing)14.9
Dividend yield0.50%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.50%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -43.9%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs -16.1%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-18%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. CHDN · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearCHDNSPY
2022-12.0%-18.2%
2023+28.1%+26.2%
2024-0.7%+24.9%
2025-14.5%+17.7%
2026-24.0%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are CHDN and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.38 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CHDN and SPY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between CHDN and SPY is 0.38 over 3 years, 0.19 over 1 year and 0.47 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for CHDN?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.38 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.38 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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CHDN vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.38CHDN vs SPY0.38

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Hubs: CHDN correlations · SPY correlations