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CFG vs XLF: Correlation

Citizens Financial Group (CFG) and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.78.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.78
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.65
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.79
long-run
Ann. covariance
392.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CFG and XLF?

On 3 years of weekly data the CFG/XLF correlation comes out at 0.78, strong. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.65) than the 3-year average (0.78). The 5-year figure is 0.79, and annualized covariance runs at 392.3 %².

Among the 46 assets we track against CFG, XLF ranks #18 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with CFG ahead by 30.0 points (+39.3% versus +9.3%). Stability stands out here, with the rolling one-year correlation confined to 0.67 through 0.91. Note the risk asymmetry: CFG runs 1.9 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CFG vs XLF: side by side

CFG (Citizens Financial Group)XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+39.3%+9.3%
5-year return+98.3%+64.2%
Volatility (ann.)31.0%16.2%
Beta vs S&P 5001.160.84
Max drawdown (3Y)-29.1%-15.5%
Market cap$29.6B
P/E (trailing)15.4
Dividend yield2.55%1.42%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$57.9B
Sector / categoryFinancialsSector ETF
Higher yield: CFG 2.55% vs 1.42%Smaller drawdown: XLF -15.5% vs -29.1%Higher 5y return: CFG +98.3% vs +64.2%

XLF is a Financial fund from State Street Investment Management: $57.9B under management, 77 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.42% trailing dividend yield.

-9%0%+49%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). CFG · XLF

Year-by-year returns

YearCFGXLF
2022-13.4%-10.6%
2023-11.0%+12.0%
2024+38.0%+30.6%
2025+38.6%+14.9%
2026+22.7%+6.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 0.36% of XLF is CFG itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are CFG and XLF good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.78 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CFG and XLF?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between CFG and XLF is 0.78 over 3 years, 0.65 over 1 year and 0.79 over 5 years.

Is XLF a good diversifier for CFG?

To a limited degree. At 0.78 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.78 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.78 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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CFG vs XLF: 3-year weekly correlation 0.78CFG vs XLF0.78

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Hubs: CFG correlations · XLF correlations