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CARR vs SPY: Correlation

Carrier Global (CARR) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.53.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.53
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.27
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.60
long-run
Ann. covariance
251.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CARR and SPY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of CARR and SPY correlate at 0.53, moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.27) than the 3-year average (0.53). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.60, with an annualized covariance of 251.9 %².

By 3-year correlation, SPY places #16 of the 29 assets tracked against CARR. The last year tells two different stories: SPY led by 32.2 percentage points, -11.6% for CARR against +20.6% for SPY. On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.26 and 0.74, a moderate band. One caveat on sizing: CARR is 2.2 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CARR vs SPY: side by side

CARR (Carrier Global)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return-11.6%+20.6%
5-year return+8.8%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)32.6%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5001.211.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-38.1%-18.8%
Market cap$48.5B
P/E (trailing)42.0
Dividend yield1.61%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: CARR 1.61% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -38.1%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs +8.8%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-20%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. CARR · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearCARRSPY
2022-22.7%-18.2%
2023+41.5%+26.2%
2024+20.3%+24.9%
2025-21.8%+17.7%
2026+12.6%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that SPY holds CARR at a 0.07% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are CARR and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.53 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CARR and SPY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between CARR and SPY is 0.53 over 3 years, 0.27 over 1 year and 0.60 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for CARR?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.53 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

What does a correlation of 0.53 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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CARR vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.53CARR vs SPY0.53

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Hubs: CARR correlations · SPY correlations