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CARR vs XLI: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Carrier Global (CARR) and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) carry a correlation of 0.68, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.68
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.62
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.72
long-run
Ann. covariance
347.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CARR and XLI?

On 3 years of weekly data the CARR/XLI correlation comes out at 0.68, strong. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.62 over 1 year against 0.68 over 3. The 5-year figure is 0.72, and annualized covariance runs at 347.6 %².

Within CARR's tracked universe of 29 assets, XLI comes in at #4 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: XLI led by 29.9 percentage points, -11.6% for CARR against +18.3% for XLI. Stability stands out here, with the rolling one-year correlation confined to 0.59 through 0.80. Risk is not evenly split, since CARR carries 2.1 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CARR vs XLI: side by side

CARR (Carrier Global)XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-11.6%+18.3%
5-year return+8.8%+84.0%
Volatility (ann.)32.6%15.7%
Beta vs S&P 5001.210.89
Max drawdown (3Y)-38.1%-18.5%
Market cap$48.5B
P/E (trailing)42.0
Dividend yield1.61%1.15%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$32.9B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsSector ETF
Higher yield: CARR 1.61% vs 1.15%Smaller drawdown: XLI -18.5% vs -38.1%Higher 5y return: XLI +84.0% vs +8.8%

XLI is an Industrials fund from State Street Investment Management: $32.9B under management, 83 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.15% trailing dividend yield.

-20%0%+25%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). CARR · XLI

Year-by-year returns

YearCARRXLI
2022-22.7%-5.6%
2023+41.5%+18.1%
2024+20.3%+17.3%
2025-21.8%+19.3%
2026+12.6%+15.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLI holds CARR at a 0.81% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are CARR and XLI good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.68 means CARR and XLI share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CARR and XLI?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.68 over 3 years, with 0.62 over the last year and 0.72 over 5 years.

Is XLI a good diversifier for CARR?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.68 means CARR and XLI share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.68 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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CARR vs XLI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.68CARR vs XLI0.68

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Related comparisons

Hubs: CARR correlations · XLI correlations