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BTU vs SPY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) carry a correlation of 0.20, a weak link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.20
weak
Correlation (1Y)
-0.17
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.13
long-run
Ann. covariance
153.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are BTU and SPY?

Over the past 3 years, BTU and SPY moved with a correlation of 0.20, which is weak. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.17 versus 0.20 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.13, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 153.4 %².

Out of 10 assets tracked against BTU, SPY lands near the bottom at #6. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with BTU ahead by 57.0 points (+77.6% versus +20.6%). Note the risk asymmetry: BTU runs 3.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

BTU vs SPY: side by side

BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+77.6%+20.6%
5-year return+95.9%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)52.8%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.731.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-65.1%-18.8%
Market cap$3.6B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield1.10%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: BTU 1.10% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -65.1%Higher 5y return: BTU +95.9% vs +82.4%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+108%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. BTU · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearBTUSPY
2022+162.4%-18.2%
2023-7.0%+26.2%
2024-12.8%+24.9%
2025+44.2%+17.7%
2026-0.0%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are BTU and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.20 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between BTU and SPY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.20 over 3 years, with -0.17 over the last year and 0.13 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for BTU?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.20 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.20 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.20 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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BTU vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.20BTU vs SPY0.20

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Hubs: BTU correlations · SPY correlations