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BTI vs XLP: Correlation

How closely do British American Tobacco Industries, p.l.c. (BTI) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.45, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.45
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.52
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.45
long-run
Ann. covariance
112.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are BTI and XLP?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of BTI and XLP correlate at 0.45, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.52 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.45, with an annualized covariance of 112.8 %².

Few assets follow BTI as closely as XLP, which ranks #3 of 21 tracked partners. Neither side won the trailing year by much: +4.8% against +8.3%. Note the risk asymmetry: BTI runs 2.0 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

BTI vs XLP: side by side

BTI (British American Tobacco Industries, p.l.c.)XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+4.8%+8.3%
5-year return+119.4%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)22.5%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.060.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-15.3%-9.7%
Market cap$121.2B
P/E (trailing)14.5
Dividend yield4.27%2.58%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$14.6B
Sector / categoryUS ListedSector ETF
Higher yield: BTI 4.27% vs 2.58%Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -15.3%Higher 5y return: BTI +119.4% vs +34.7%

On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-7%0%+22%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. BTI · XLP

Year-by-year returns

YearBTIXLP
2022+15.1%-0.8%
2023-20.1%-0.8%
2024+35.4%+12.2%
2025+65.8%+1.5%
2026+2.2%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are BTI and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.45, BTI and XLP keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between BTI and XLP?

The BTI/XLP correlation stands at 0.45 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.52, 5 years: 0.45), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLP a good diversifier for BTI?

Reasonably. At 0.45, BTI and XLP keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.45 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.45 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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BTI vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.45BTI vs XLP0.45

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Hubs: BTI correlations · XLP correlations