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BCS vs XLF: Correlation

How closely do Barclays PLC (BCS) and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.68, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.68
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.67
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.72
long-run
Ann. covariance
342.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are BCS and XLF?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of BCS and XLF correlate at 0.68, strong. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.67 over 1 year against 0.68 over 3. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.72, with an annualized covariance of 342.1 %².

Among the 15 assets we track against BCS, XLF ranks #5 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with BCS ahead by 27.3 points (+36.6% versus +9.3%). One caveat on sizing: BCS is 1.9 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

BCS vs XLF: side by side

BCS (Barclays PLC)XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+36.6%+9.3%
5-year return+214.7%+64.2%
Volatility (ann.)30.9%16.2%
Beta vs S&P 5001.270.84
Max drawdown (3Y)-26.2%-15.5%
Market cap$90.3B
P/E (trailing)10.3
Dividend yield0.42%1.42%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$57.9B
Sector / categoryUS ListedSector ETF
Higher yield: XLF 1.42% vs 0.42%Smaller drawdown: XLF -15.5% vs -26.2%Higher 5y return: BCS +214.7% vs +64.2%

XLF is a Financial fund from State Street Investment Management: $57.9B under management, 77 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.42% trailing dividend yield.

-9%0%+46%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). BCS · XLF

Year-by-year returns

YearBCSXLF
2022-21.9%-10.6%
2023+6.0%+12.0%
2024+76.3%+30.6%
2025+96.5%+14.9%
2026+8.0%+6.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are BCS and XLF good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.68 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between BCS and XLF?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between BCS and XLF is 0.68 over 3 years, 0.67 over 1 year and 0.72 over 5 years.

Is XLF a good diversifier for BCS?

To a limited degree. At 0.68 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.68 mean?

A reading of 0.68 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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BCS vs XLF: 3-year weekly correlation 0.68BCS vs XLF0.68

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Hubs: BCS correlations · XLF correlations