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ASML vs SPY: Correlation

How closely do ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares (ASML) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.57, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.57
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.50
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.67
long-run
Ann. covariance
317.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ASML and SPY?

On 3 years of weekly data the ASML/SPY correlation comes out at 0.57, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.50) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.67, and annualized covariance runs at 317.4 %².

Out of 10 assets tracked against ASML, SPY lands near the bottom at #7. The last year tells two different stories: ASML led by 106.2 percentage points, +126.8% for ASML against +20.6% for SPY. One caveat on sizing: ASML is 2.7 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ASML vs SPY: side by side

ASML (ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+126.8%+20.6%
5-year return+116.6%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)38.6%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5001.521.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-45.5%-18.8%
Market cap$666.4B
P/E (trailing)58.5
Dividend yield0.25%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.25%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -45.5%Higher 5y return: ASML +116.6% vs +82.4%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-1%0%+148%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ASML · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearASMLSPY
2022-30.5%-18.2%
2023+39.9%+26.2%
2024-7.7%+24.9%
2025+55.8%+17.7%
2026+63.0%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ASML and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.57 means ASML and SPY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ASML and SPY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between ASML and SPY is 0.57 over 3 years, 0.50 over 1 year and 0.67 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for ASML?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.57 means ASML and SPY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.57 mean?

A reading of 0.57 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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ASML vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.57ASML vs SPY0.57

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Hubs: ASML correlations · SPY correlations