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ASML vs SMH: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares (ASML) and VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) carry a correlation of 0.77, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.77
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.75
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.81
long-run
Ann. covariance
997.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ASML and SMH?

Over the past 3 years, ASML and SMH moved with a correlation of 0.77, which is strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.75 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.81, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 997.6 %².

Few assets follow ASML as closely as SMH, which ranks #3 of 10 tracked partners. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months ASML outperformed by 33.7 percentage points (+126.8% for ASML against +93.1% for SMH).

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ASML vs SMH: side by side

ASML (ASML Holding N.V. - New York Registry Shares)SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF)
1-year return+126.8%+93.1%
5-year return+116.6%+332.8%
Volatility (ann.)38.6%33.7%
Beta vs S&P 5001.521.91
Max drawdown (3Y)-45.5%-35.7%
Market cap$666.4B
P/E (trailing)58.5
Dividend yield0.25%
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · Thematic
Smaller drawdown: SMH -35.7% vs -45.5%Higher 5y return: SMH +332.8% vs +116.6%
0%+148%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ASML · SMH

Year-by-year returns

YearASMLSMH
2022-30.5%-33.5%
2023+39.9%+73.4%
2024-7.7%+39.1%
2025+55.8%+49.2%
2026+63.0%+59.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ASML and SMH good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.77 means ASML and SMH share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ASML and SMH?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.77 over 3 years, with 0.75 over the last year and 0.81 over 5 years.

Is SMH a good diversifier for ASML?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.77 means ASML and SMH share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.77 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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ASML vs SMH: 3-year weekly correlation 0.77ASML vs SMH0.77

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Hubs: ASML correlations · SMH correlations