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ARCO vs VXX: Correlation

How closely do Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. Class A Shares (ARCO) and iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.25, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.25
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.30
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.28
long-run
Ann. covariance
-463.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ARCO and VXX?

On 3 years of weekly data the ARCO/VXX correlation comes out at -0.25, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (-0.30) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is -0.28, and annualized covariance runs at -463.6 %².

VXX is close to the least connected end of ARCO's tracked universe, ranking #9 of 10. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months ARCO outperformed by 67.7 percentage points (+18.0% for ARCO against -49.7% for VXX). Risk is not evenly split, since VXX carries 2.0 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ARCO vs VXX: side by side

ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. Class A Shares)VXX (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)
1-year return+18.0%-49.7%
5-year return+59.4%-95.6%
Volatility (ann.)30.6%60.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.59-3.31
Max drawdown (3Y)-47.9%-83.3%
Market cap$1.7B
P/E (trailing)6.5
Dividend yield3.50%0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Higher yield: ARCO 3.50% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: ARCO -47.9% vs -83.3%Higher 5y return: ARCO +59.4% vs -95.6%
-49%0%+35%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ARCO · VXX

Year-by-year returns

YearARCOVXX
2022+46.3%-23.8%
2023+54.9%-72.5%
2024-41.0%-26.2%
2025+4.1%-42.2%
2026+10.0%-31.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ARCO and VXX good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.25, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ARCO and VXX?

The ARCO/VXX correlation stands at -0.25 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.30, 5 years: -0.28), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is VXX a good diversifier for ARCO?

Yes: at -0.25, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.25 mean?

A reading of -0.25 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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ARCO vs VXX: 3-year weekly correlation -0.25ARCO vs VXX-0.25

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Related comparisons

Hubs: ARCO correlations · VXX correlations