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ARCO vs STNE: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. Class A Shares (ARCO) and StoneCo Ltd. - Class A Common Share (STNE) carry a correlation of 0.58, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.58
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.68
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.48
long-run
Ann. covariance
860.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ARCO and STNE?

Over the past 3 years, ARCO and STNE moved with a correlation of 0.58, which is moderate. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.68) runs above the 3-year figure (0.58). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.48, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 860.0 %².

Few assets follow ARCO as closely as STNE, which ranks #1 of 10 tracked partners. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months ARCO outperformed by 45.3 percentage points (+18.0% for ARCO against -27.3% for STNE). Note the risk asymmetry: STNE runs 1.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ARCO vs STNE: side by side

ARCO (Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. Class A Shares)STNE (StoneCo Ltd. - Class A Common Share)
1-year return+18.0%-27.3%
5-year return+59.4%-76.6%
Volatility (ann.)30.6%48.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.591.41
Max drawdown (3Y)-47.9%-57.6%
Market cap$1.7B$2.2B
P/E (trailing)6.53.7
Dividend yield3.50%0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Lower P/E: STNE 3.7 vs 6.5Higher yield: ARCO 3.50% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: ARCO -47.9% vs -57.6%Higher 5y return: ARCO +59.4% vs -76.6%
-34%0%+35%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ARCO · STNE

Year-by-year returns

YearARCOSTNE
2022+46.3%-44.0%
2023+54.9%+91.0%
2024-41.0%-55.8%
2025+4.1%+85.6%
2026+10.0%-21.8%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ARCO and STNE good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means ARCO and STNE share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ARCO and STNE?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between ARCO and STNE is 0.58 over 3 years, 0.68 over 1 year and 0.48 over 5 years.

Is STNE a good diversifier for ARCO?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means ARCO and STNE share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.58 mean?

A reading of 0.58 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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ARCO vs STNE: 3-year weekly correlation 0.58ARCO vs STNE0.58

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Related comparisons

Hubs: ARCO correlations · STNE correlations