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ARCC vs TPVG: Correlation

How closely do Ares Capital Corporation - Closed End Fund (ARCC) and TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (TPVG) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.64, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.64
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.78
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.64
long-run
Ann. covariance
343.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ARCC and TPVG?

On 3 years of weekly data the ARCC/TPVG correlation comes out at 0.64, strong. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.78) runs above the 3-year figure (0.64). The 5-year figure is 0.64, and annualized covariance runs at 343.9 %².

Among the 31 assets we track against ARCC, TPVG ranks #20 by 3-year correlation. Neither side won the trailing year by much: -1.8% against -5.1%. One caveat on sizing: TPVG is 2.1 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ARCC vs TPVG: side by side

ARCC (Ares Capital Corporation - Closed End Fund)TPVG (TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp.)
1-year return-1.8%-5.1%
5-year return+59.8%-31.0%
Volatility (ann.)15.8%33.8%
Beta vs S&P 5000.621.06
Max drawdown (3Y)-19.3%-43.4%
Market cap$14.3B$0.2B
P/E (trailing)14.85.4
Dividend yield9.65%17.29%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Lower P/E: TPVG 5.4 vs 14.8Higher yield: TPVG 17.29% vs 9.65%Smaller drawdown: ARCC -19.3% vs -43.4%Higher 5y return: ARCC +59.8% vs -31.0%
-26%0%+5%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). ARCC · TPVG

Year-by-year returns

YearARCCTPVG
2022-3.8%-34.7%
2023+20.0%+20.3%
2024+19.8%-20.0%
2025+1.1%+3.9%
2026+3.5%-10.8%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ARCC and TPVG good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.64 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ARCC and TPVG?

The ARCC/TPVG correlation stands at 0.64 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.78, 5 years: 0.64), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is TPVG a good diversifier for ARCC?

To a limited degree. At 0.64 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.64 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.64 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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ARCC vs TPVG: 3-year weekly correlation 0.64ARCC vs TPVG0.64

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Related comparisons

Hubs: ARCC correlations · TPVG correlations