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ARCC vs GBDC: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Ares Capital Corporation - Closed End Fund (ARCC) and Golub Capital BDC, Inc. - Closed End Fund (GBDC) carry a correlation of 0.80, a very strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.80
very strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.82
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.76
long-run
Ann. covariance
199.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ARCC and GBDC?

Over the past 3 years, ARCC and GBDC moved with a correlation of 0.80, which is very strong, meaning they move nearly in lockstep. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.82) sits close to the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.76, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 199.3 %².

GBDC is one of the assets that tracks ARCC most closely: it ranks #3 out of the 31 assets we track against ARCC. Neither side won the trailing year by much: -1.8% against -1.2%.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ARCC vs GBDC: side by side

ARCC (Ares Capital Corporation - Closed End Fund)GBDC (Golub Capital BDC, Inc. - Closed End Fund)
1-year return-1.8%-1.2%
5-year return+59.8%+39.0%
Volatility (ann.)15.8%15.8%
Beta vs S&P 5000.620.47
Max drawdown (3Y)-19.3%-18.2%
Market cap$14.3B$3.4B
P/E (trailing)14.819.8
Dividend yield9.65%10.98%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Lower P/E: ARCC 14.8 vs 19.8Higher yield: GBDC 10.98% vs 9.65%Smaller drawdown: GBDC -18.2% vs -19.3%Higher 5y return: ARCC +59.8% vs +39.0%
-16%0%+2%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). ARCC · GBDC

Year-by-year returns

YearARCCGBDC
2022-3.8%-7.0%
2023+20.0%+27.7%
2024+19.8%+13.6%
2025+1.1%-0.5%
2026+3.5%+1.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ARCC and GBDC good diversifiers for each other?

Not really. At 0.80, the two trade almost as one position, and owning both buys little extra protection.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ARCC and GBDC?

The ARCC/GBDC correlation stands at 0.80 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.82, 5 years: 0.76), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is GBDC a good diversifier for ARCC?

Not really. At 0.80, the two trade almost as one position, and owning both buys little extra protection.

What does a correlation of 0.80 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.80 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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ARCC vs GBDC: 3-year weekly correlation 0.80ARCC vs GBDC0.80

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Related comparisons

Hubs: ARCC correlations · GBDC correlations