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AGRO vs SMCI: Correlation

Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) and Supermicro (SMCI) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.17.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.17
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.36
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.04
long-run
Ann. covariance
-773.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are AGRO and SMCI?

Over the past 3 years, AGRO and SMCI moved with a correlation of -0.17, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The past 12 months show a weaker link (-0.36) than the 3-year average (-0.17). Over 5 years the correlation is -0.04, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -773.3 %².

Within AGRO's tracked universe of 36 assets, SMCI comes in at #10 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: AGRO led by 42.2 percentage points, +28.1% for AGRO against -14.1% for SMCI. One caveat on sizing: SMCI is 2.6 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

AGRO vs SMCI: side by side

AGRO (Adecoagro S.A.)SMCI (Supermicro)
1-year return+28.1%-14.1%
5-year return+29.1%+983.4%
Volatility (ann.)41.7%107.1%
Beta vs S&P 500-0.273.08
Max drawdown (3Y)-41.3%-84.8%
Market cap$1.5B$24.9B
P/E (trailing)28.911.5
Dividend yield0.00%0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedInformation Technology
Lower P/E: SMCI 11.5 vs 28.9Smaller drawdown: AGRO -41.3% vs -84.8%Higher 5y return: SMCI +983.4% vs +29.1%
-49%0%+84%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. AGRO · SMCI

Year-by-year returns

YearAGROSMCI
2022+11.5%+86.8%
2023+38.6%+246.2%
2024-12.4%+7.2%
2025-14.3%-4.0%
2026+36.0%+31.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are AGRO and SMCI good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.17 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between AGRO and SMCI?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.17 over 3 years, with -0.36 over the last year and -0.04 over 5 years.

Is SMCI a good diversifier for AGRO?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.17 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.17 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.17 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/agro-vs-smci.json

AGRO vs SMCI: 3-year weekly correlation -0.17AGRO vs SMCI-0.17

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Related comparisons

Hubs: AGRO correlations · SMCI correlations