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AGRO vs USO: Correlation

How closely do Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) and United States Oil Fund (USO) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.38, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.38
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.49
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.37
long-run
Ann. covariance
615.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are AGRO and USO?

On 3 years of weekly data the AGRO/USO correlation comes out at 0.38, moderate. Lately the two have moved closer together, with the 1-year correlation at 0.49 versus 0.38 over 3 years. The 5-year figure is 0.37, and annualized covariance runs at 615.9 %².

Among the 36 assets we track against AGRO, USO ranks #5 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: USO led by 46.0 percentage points, +28.1% for AGRO against +74.1% for USO.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

AGRO vs USO: side by side

AGRO (Adecoagro S.A.)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return+28.1%+74.1%
5-year return+29.1%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)41.7%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 500-0.27-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-41.3%-32.5%
Market cap$1.5B
P/E (trailing)28.9
Dividend yield0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: USO -32.5% vs -41.3%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs +29.1%
-14%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). AGRO · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearAGROUSO
2022+11.5%+29.0%
2023+38.6%-4.9%
2024-12.4%+13.4%
2025-14.3%-8.5%
2026+36.0%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are AGRO and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.38, AGRO and USO keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between AGRO and USO?

The AGRO/USO correlation stands at 0.38 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.49, 5 years: 0.37), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is USO a good diversifier for AGRO?

Reasonably. At 0.38, AGRO and USO keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.38 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.38 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/agro-vs-uso.json

AGRO vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation 0.38AGRO vs USO0.38

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[![AGRO vs USO correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/agro-vs-uso.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/agro-vs-uso/)

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Related comparisons

Hubs: AGRO correlations · USO correlations