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AGRO vs ITW: Correlation

Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) and Illinois Tool Works (ITW) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.20.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.20
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.41
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.01
long-run
Ann. covariance
-160.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are AGRO and ITW?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of AGRO and ITW correlate at -0.20, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The past 12 months show a weaker link (-0.41) than the 3-year average (-0.20). Stretching to 5 years gives -0.01, with an annualized covariance of -160.7 %².

Within AGRO's tracked universe of 36 assets, ITW comes in at #19 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months AGRO outperformed by 19.9 percentage points (+28.1% for AGRO against +8.2% for ITW). Risk is not evenly split, since AGRO carries 2.2 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

AGRO vs ITW: side by side

AGRO (Adecoagro S.A.)ITW (Illinois Tool Works)
1-year return+28.1%+8.2%
5-year return+29.1%+36.1%
Volatility (ann.)41.7%19.0%
Beta vs S&P 500-0.270.64
Max drawdown (3Y)-41.3%-20.6%
Market cap$1.5B$80.2B
P/E (trailing)28.925.8
Dividend yield0.00%2.26%
Sector / categoryUS ListedIndustrials
Lower P/E: ITW 25.8 vs 28.9Higher yield: ITW 2.26% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: ITW -20.6% vs -41.3%Higher 5y return: ITW +36.1% vs +29.1%
-14%0%+84%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. AGRO · ITW

Year-by-year returns

YearAGROITW
2022+11.5%-8.5%
2023+38.6%+21.6%
2024-12.4%-1.0%
2025-14.3%-0.4%
2026+36.0%+15.8%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are AGRO and ITW good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.20, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between AGRO and ITW?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between AGRO and ITW is -0.20 over 3 years, -0.41 over 1 year and -0.01 over 5 years.

Is ITW a good diversifier for AGRO?

Yes: at -0.20, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.20 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.20 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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AGRO vs ITW: 3-year weekly correlation -0.20AGRO vs ITW-0.20

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Related comparisons

Hubs: AGRO correlations · ITW correlations