PairBook
HomeVXZ › VXZ vs XLY

VXZ vs XLY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN (VXZ) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) carry a correlation of -0.65, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.65
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.63
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.63
long-run
Ann. covariance
-326.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are VXZ and XLY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of VXZ and XLY correlate at -0.65, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of -0.63 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives -0.63, with an annualized covariance of -326.5 %².

Within VXZ's tracked universe of 2840 assets, XLY comes in at #2799 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with XLY ahead by 16.0 points (-16.1% versus -0.1%).

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

VXZ vs XLY: side by side

VXZ (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-16.1%-0.1%
5-year return-53.1%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)25.6%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 500-1.311.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-36.4%-26.0%
Dividend yield0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryUS ListedSector ETF
Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -36.4%Higher 5y return: XLY +31.8% vs -53.1%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-16%0%+9%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). VXZ · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearVXZXLY
2022+0.5%-36.3%
2023-44.0%+39.6%
2024-12.7%+26.5%
2025+5.7%+7.4%
2026-10.5%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are VXZ and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.65, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between VXZ and XLY?

The VXZ/XLY correlation stands at -0.65 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.63, 5 years: -0.63), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLY a good diversifier for VXZ?

Yes: at -0.65, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.65 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.65 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/vxz-vs-xly.json

VXZ vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation -0.65VXZ vs XLY-0.65

Markdown for the live badge, attribution link included:

[![VXZ vs XLY correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/vxz-vs-xly.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/vxz-vs-xly/)

Free with attribution; caching and terms are described in the API documentation.

Related comparisons

Hubs: VXZ correlations · XLY correlations