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VXZ vs XLP: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN (VXZ) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) carry a correlation of -0.28, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.28
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.16
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.35
long-run
Ann. covariance
-80.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are VXZ and XLP?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of VXZ and XLP correlate at -0.28, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.16) runs above the 3-year figure (-0.28). Stretching to 5 years gives -0.35, with an annualized covariance of -80.2 %².

Among the 2840 assets we track against VXZ, XLP ranks #760 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months XLP outperformed by 24.4 percentage points (-16.1% for VXZ against +8.3% for XLP). Risk is not evenly split, since VXZ carries 2.3 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

VXZ vs XLP: side by side

VXZ (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN)XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-16.1%+8.3%
5-year return-53.1%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)25.6%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 500-1.310.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-36.4%-9.7%
Dividend yield2.58%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$14.6B
Sector / categoryUS ListedSector ETF
Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -36.4%Higher 5y return: XLP +34.7% vs -53.1%

On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-16%0%+13%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. VXZ · XLP

Year-by-year returns

YearVXZXLP
2022+0.5%-0.8%
2023-44.0%-0.8%
2024-12.7%+12.2%
2025+5.7%+1.5%
2026-10.5%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are VXZ and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.28, VXZ and XLP have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between VXZ and XLP?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between VXZ and XLP is -0.28 over 3 years, -0.16 over 1 year and -0.35 over 5 years.

Is XLP a good diversifier for VXZ?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.28, VXZ and XLP have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.28 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.28 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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VXZ vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation -0.28VXZ vs XLP-0.28

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Hubs: VXZ correlations · XLP correlations