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VXZ vs XLI: Correlation

How closely do iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN (VXZ) and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.67, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.67
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.58
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.68
long-run
Ann. covariance
-271.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are VXZ and XLI?

On 3 years of weekly data the VXZ/XLI correlation comes out at -0.67, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of -0.58 lands near the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is -0.68, and annualized covariance runs at -271.2 %².

Within VXZ's tracked universe of 2840 assets, XLI comes in at #2807 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: XLI led by 34.4 percentage points, -16.1% for VXZ against +18.3% for XLI. Risk is not evenly split, since VXZ carries 1.6 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

VXZ vs XLI: side by side

VXZ (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN)XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-16.1%+18.3%
5-year return-53.1%+84.0%
Volatility (ann.)25.6%15.7%
Beta vs S&P 500-1.310.89
Max drawdown (3Y)-36.4%-18.5%
Dividend yield1.15%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$32.9B
Sector / categoryUS ListedSector ETF
Smaller drawdown: XLI -18.5% vs -36.4%Higher 5y return: XLI +84.0% vs -53.1%

XLI is an Industrials fund from State Street Investment Management: $32.9B under management, 83 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.15% trailing dividend yield.

-16%0%+25%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). VXZ · XLI

Year-by-year returns

YearVXZXLI
2022+0.5%-5.6%
2023-44.0%+18.1%
2024-12.7%+17.3%
2025+5.7%+19.3%
2026-10.5%+15.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are VXZ and XLI good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.67, VXZ and XLI have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between VXZ and XLI?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.67 over 3 years, with -0.58 over the last year and -0.68 over 5 years.

Is XLI a good diversifier for VXZ?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.67, VXZ and XLI have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.67 mean?

A reading of -0.67 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/vxz-vs-xli.json

VXZ vs XLI: 3-year weekly correlation -0.67VXZ vs XLI-0.67

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Hubs: VXZ correlations · XLI correlations