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VXZ vs XLF: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN (VXZ) and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) carry a correlation of -0.71, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.71
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.65
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.68
long-run
Ann. covariance
-292.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are VXZ and XLF?

On 3 years of weekly data the VXZ/XLF correlation comes out at -0.71, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (-0.65) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is -0.68, and annualized covariance runs at -292.3 %².

Among the 2840 assets we track against VXZ, XLF ranks #2826 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months XLF outperformed by 25.4 percentage points (-16.1% for VXZ against +9.3% for XLF). Note the risk asymmetry: VXZ runs 1.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

VXZ vs XLF: side by side

VXZ (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures ETN)XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-16.1%+9.3%
5-year return-53.1%+64.2%
Volatility (ann.)25.6%16.2%
Beta vs S&P 500-1.310.84
Max drawdown (3Y)-36.4%-15.5%
Dividend yield1.42%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$57.9B
Sector / categoryUS ListedSector ETF
Smaller drawdown: XLF -15.5% vs -36.4%Higher 5y return: XLF +64.2% vs -53.1%

XLF is a Financial fund from State Street Investment Management: $57.9B under management, 77 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.42% trailing dividend yield.

-16%0%+11%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). VXZ · XLF

Year-by-year returns

YearVXZXLF
2022+0.5%-10.6%
2023-44.0%+12.0%
2024-12.7%+30.6%
2025+5.7%+14.9%
2026-10.5%+6.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are VXZ and XLF good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.71 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between VXZ and XLF?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between VXZ and XLF is -0.71 over 3 years, -0.65 over 1 year and -0.68 over 5 years.

Is XLF a good diversifier for VXZ?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.71 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.71 mean?

A reading of -0.71 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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VXZ vs XLF: 3-year weekly correlation -0.71VXZ vs XLF-0.71

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Hubs: VXZ correlations · XLF correlations