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VXX vs XLY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) carry a correlation of -0.67, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.67
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.59
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.59
long-run
Ann. covariance
-798.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are VXX and XLY?

Over the past 3 years, VXX and XLY moved with a correlation of -0.67, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (-0.59) sits close to the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is -0.59, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -798.1 %².

Within VXX's tracked universe of 2872 assets, XLY comes in at #2817 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months XLY outperformed by 49.6 percentage points (-49.7% for VXX against -0.1% for XLY). Note the risk asymmetry: VXX runs 3.1 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

VXX vs XLY: side by side

VXX (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-49.7%-0.1%
5-year return-95.6%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)60.9%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 500-3.311.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-83.3%-26.0%
Market cap
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryUS ListedSector ETF
Higher yield: XLY 0.78% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -83.3%Higher 5y return: XLY +31.8% vs -95.6%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-49%0%+11%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). VXX · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearVXXXLY
2022-23.8%-36.3%
2023-72.5%+39.6%
2024-26.2%+26.5%
2025-42.2%+7.4%
2026-31.6%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are VXX and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.67, VXX and XLY have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between VXX and XLY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.67 over 3 years, with -0.59 over the last year and -0.59 over 5 years.

Is XLY a good diversifier for VXX?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.67, VXX and XLY have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.67 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.67 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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VXX vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation -0.67VXX vs XLY-0.67

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Hubs: VXX correlations · XLY correlations