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USO vs VMC: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, United States Oil Fund (USO) and Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) carry a correlation of -0.33, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.33
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.50
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.18
long-run
Ann. covariance
-325.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are USO and VMC?

On 3 years of weekly data the USO/VMC correlation comes out at -0.33, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.50 versus -0.33 over 3 years. The 5-year figure is -0.18, and annualized covariance runs at -325.1 %².

Among the 165 assets we track against USO, VMC ranks #150 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with USO ahead by 79.3 points (+74.1% versus -5.2%). The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between -0.61 and 0.08 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment. Note the risk asymmetry: USO runs 1.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

USO vs VMC: side by side

USO (United States Oil Fund)VMC (Vulcan Materials Company)
1-year return+74.1%-5.2%
5-year return+168.6%+53.2%
Volatility (ann.)39.4%25.2%
Beta vs S&P 500-0.200.82
Max drawdown (3Y)-32.5%-24.4%
Market cap$35.5B
P/E (trailing)32.3
Dividend yield0.74%
Sector / categoryETF · CommoditiesMaterials
Smaller drawdown: VMC -24.4% vs -32.5%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs +53.2%
-12%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. USO · VMC

Year-by-year returns

YearUSOVMC
2022+29.0%-14.9%
2023-4.9%+30.8%
2024+13.4%+14.1%
2025-8.5%+11.7%
2026+88.0%-3.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are USO and VMC good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.33, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between USO and VMC?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between USO and VMC is -0.33 over 3 years, -0.50 over 1 year and -0.18 over 5 years.

Is VMC a good diversifier for USO?

Yes: at -0.33, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.33 mean?

A reading of -0.33 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/uso-vs-vmc.json

USO vs VMC: 3-year weekly correlation -0.33USO vs VMC-0.33

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Related comparisons

Hubs: USO correlations · VMC correlations