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USFD vs XLP: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) carry a correlation of 0.51, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.51
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.60
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.56
long-run
Ann. covariance
157.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are USFD and XLP?

Over the past 3 years, USFD and XLP moved with a correlation of 0.51, which is moderate. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.60 over 1 year against 0.51 over 3. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.56, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 157.0 %².

Few assets follow USFD as closely as XLP, which ranks #2 of 13 tracked partners. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with USFD ahead by 30.5 points (+38.8% versus +8.3%). One caveat on sizing: USFD is 2.5 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

USFD vs XLP: side by side

USFD (US Foods Holding Corp.)XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+38.8%+8.3%
5-year return+223.0%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)27.4%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.640.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-21.1%-9.7%
Market cap$23.3B
P/E (trailing)33.4
Dividend yield0.00%2.58%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$14.6B
Sector / categoryUS ListedSector ETF
Higher yield: XLP 2.58% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -21.1%Higher 5y return: USFD +223.0% vs +34.7%

On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-9%0%+41%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. USFD · XLP

Year-by-year returns

YearUSFDXLP
2022-2.3%-0.8%
2023+33.5%-0.8%
2024+48.6%+12.2%
2025+11.7%+1.5%
2026+43.1%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are USFD and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.51 means USFD and XLP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between USFD and XLP?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.51 over 3 years, with 0.60 over the last year and 0.56 over 5 years.

Is XLP a good diversifier for USFD?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.51 means USFD and XLP share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.51 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.51 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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USFD vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.51USFD vs XLP0.51

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Hubs: USFD correlations · XLP correlations