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USB vs XLF: Correlation

U.S. Bancorp (USB) and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.77.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.77
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.72
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.78
long-run
Ann. covariance
338.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are USB and XLF?

On 3 years of weekly data the USB/XLF correlation comes out at 0.77, strong. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.72 over 1 year against 0.77 over 3. The 5-year figure is 0.78, and annualized covariance runs at 338.7 %².

Within USB's tracked universe of 55 assets, XLF comes in at #17 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with USB ahead by 23.8 points (+33.1% versus +9.3%). The rolling one-year correlation stayed in a tight band between 0.70 and 0.85 over the past three years, which points to a structural rather than episodic relationship. Risk is not evenly split, since USB carries 1.7 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

USB vs XLF: side by side

USB (U.S. Bancorp)XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+33.1%+9.3%
5-year return+36.0%+64.2%
Volatility (ann.)27.3%16.2%
Beta vs S&P 5001.090.84
Max drawdown (3Y)-30.6%-15.5%
Market cap$97.2B
P/E (trailing)12.5
Dividend yield3.31%1.42%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$57.9B
Sector / categoryFinancialsSector ETF
Higher yield: USB 3.31% vs 1.42%Smaller drawdown: XLF -15.5% vs -30.6%Higher 5y return: XLF +64.2% vs +36.0%

XLF is a Financial fund from State Street Investment Management: $57.9B under management, 77 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.42% trailing dividend yield.

-9%0%+39%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). USB · XLF

Year-by-year returns

YearUSBXLF
2022-19.1%-10.6%
2023+4.8%+12.0%
2024+15.6%+30.6%
2025+16.5%+14.9%
2026+19.2%+6.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 1.18% of XLF is USB itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are USB and XLF good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.77 means USB and XLF share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between USB and XLF?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.77 over 3 years, with 0.72 over the last year and 0.78 over 5 years.

Is XLF a good diversifier for USB?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.77 means USB and XLF share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.77 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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USB vs XLF: 3-year weekly correlation 0.77USB vs XLF0.77

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