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UPWK vs XLY: Correlation

How closely do Upwork Inc. (UPWK) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.49, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.49
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.35
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.46
long-run
Ann. covariance
490.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are UPWK and XLY?

Over the past 3 years, UPWK and XLY moved with a correlation of 0.49, which is moderate. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.35 versus 0.49 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.46, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 490.5 %².

XLY is one of the assets that tracks UPWK most closely: it ranks #3 out of the 12 assets we track against UPWK. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months XLY outperformed by 39.6 percentage points (-39.7% for UPWK against -0.1% for XLY). Risk is not evenly split, since UPWK carries 2.6 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

UPWK vs XLY: side by side

UPWK (Upwork Inc.)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-39.7%-0.1%
5-year return-79.8%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)51.1%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5001.341.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-64.5%-26.0%
Market cap$1.1B
P/E (trailing)11.2
Dividend yield0.00%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryUS ListedSector ETF
Higher yield: XLY 0.78% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -64.5%Higher 5y return: XLY +31.8% vs -79.8%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-50%0%+37%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). UPWK · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearUPWKXLY
2022-69.4%-36.3%
2023+42.4%+39.6%
2024+10.0%+26.5%
2025+21.2%+7.4%
2026-55.0%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are UPWK and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.49 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between UPWK and XLY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.49 over 3 years, with 0.35 over the last year and 0.46 over 5 years.

Is XLY a good diversifier for UPWK?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.49 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.49 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.49 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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UPWK vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.49UPWK vs XLY0.49

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Related comparisons

Hubs: UPWK correlations · XLY correlations