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UPS vs XLI: Correlation

How closely do United Parcel Service (UPS) and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.50, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.50
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.50
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.58
long-run
Ann. covariance
230.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are UPS and XLI?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of UPS and XLI correlate at 0.50, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.50 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.58, with an annualized covariance of 230.3 %².

Among the 34 assets we track against UPS, XLI ranks #19 by 3-year correlation. The trailing year gives UPS the advantage: +28.2% versus +18.3%, a 9.9-point spread. The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between 0.18 and 0.75 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment. Risk is not evenly split, since UPS carries 1.9 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

UPS vs XLI: side by side

UPS (United Parcel Service)XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+28.2%+18.3%
5-year return-31.0%+84.0%
Volatility (ann.)29.4%15.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.810.89
Max drawdown (3Y)-46.5%-18.5%
Market cap$89.9B
P/E (trailing)19.6
Dividend yield6.21%1.15%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$32.9B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsSector ETF
Higher yield: UPS 6.21% vs 1.15%Smaller drawdown: XLI -18.5% vs -46.5%Higher 5y return: XLI +84.0% vs -31.0%

XLI is an Industrials fund from State Street Investment Management: $32.9B under management, 83 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.15% trailing dividend yield.

-3%0%+45%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). UPS · XLI

Year-by-year returns

YearUPSXLI
2022-16.2%-5.6%
2023-6.0%+18.1%
2024-15.9%+17.3%
2025-15.9%+19.3%
2026+11.6%+15.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 1.39% of XLI is UPS itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are UPS and XLI good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.50 means UPS and XLI share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between UPS and XLI?

The UPS/XLI correlation stands at 0.50 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.50, 5 years: 0.58), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLI a good diversifier for UPS?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.50 means UPS and XLI share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.50 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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UPS vs XLI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.50UPS vs XLI0.50

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Related comparisons

Hubs: UPS correlations · XLI correlations