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UNP vs VTV: Correlation

How closely do Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) and Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.61, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.61
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.31
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.61
long-run
Ann. covariance
149.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are UNP and VTV?

Over the past 3 years, UNP and VTV moved with a correlation of 0.61, which is strong. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.31) than the 3-year average (0.61). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.61, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 149.9 %².

By 3-year correlation, VTV places #8 of the 33 assets tracked against UNP. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with UNP ahead by 16.7 points (+42.4% versus +25.7%). Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.35 to 0.76. Risk is not evenly split, since UNP carries 1.7 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

UNP vs VTV: side by side

UNP (Union Pacific Corporation)VTV (Vanguard Value ETF)
1-year return+42.4%+25.7%
5-year return+56.5%+79.1%
Volatility (ann.)20.6%11.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.560.65
Max drawdown (3Y)-17.8%-14.5%
Market cap$182.8B
P/E (trailing)25.1
Dividend yield1.78%1.86%
Expense ratio0.03%
Assets under management$256.4B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsETF · US Style
Higher yield: VTV 1.86% vs 1.78%Smaller drawdown: VTV -14.5% vs -17.8%Higher 5y return: VTV +79.1% vs +56.5%

On the fund side, VTV sits in the Large Value category at Vanguard, with $256.4B under management, 308 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 1.86% trailing dividend yield.

-2%0%+42%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). UNP · VTV

Year-by-year returns

YearUNPVTV
2022-15.9%-2.1%
2023+21.6%+9.3%
2024-5.1%+16.0%
2025+3.9%+15.3%
2026+34.4%+19.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

UNP represents 0.65% of VTV's portfolio, so part of any move in VTV is UNP itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are UNP and VTV good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.61 means UNP and VTV share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between UNP and VTV?

The UNP/VTV correlation stands at 0.61 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.31, 5 years: 0.61), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is VTV a good diversifier for UNP?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.61 means UNP and VTV share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.61 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.61 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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UNP vs VTV: 3-year weekly correlation 0.61UNP vs VTV0.61

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Related comparisons

Hubs: UNP correlations · VTV correlations