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UNP vs VIG: Correlation

How closely do Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) and Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.58, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.58
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.23
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.60
long-run
Ann. covariance
141.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are UNP and VIG?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of UNP and VIG correlate at 0.58, moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.23) runs below the 3-year figure (0.58). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.60, with an annualized covariance of 141.0 %².

Within UNP's tracked universe of 33 assets, VIG comes in at #12 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with UNP ahead by 25.3 points (+42.4% versus +17.1%). This link changes with the market regime, having swung between 0.26 and 0.77 on a rolling one-year basis. One caveat on sizing: UNP is 1.7 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

UNP vs VIG: side by side

UNP (Union Pacific Corporation)VIG (Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF)
1-year return+42.4%+17.1%
5-year return+56.5%+64.0%
Volatility (ann.)20.6%11.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.560.74
Max drawdown (3Y)-17.8%-15.0%
Market cap$182.8B
P/E (trailing)25.1
Dividend yield1.78%1.50%
Expense ratio0.04%
Assets under management$130.9B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsETF · Dividend
Higher yield: UNP 1.78% vs 1.50%Smaller drawdown: VIG -15.0% vs -17.8%Higher 5y return: VIG +64.0% vs +56.5%

VIG, Vanguard's Large Blend fund, carries $130.9B under management, 333 holdings, a 0.04% expense ratio, a 1.50% trailing dividend yield.

-2%0%+42%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). UNP · VIG

Year-by-year returns

YearUNPVIG
2022-15.9%-9.8%
2023+21.6%+14.5%
2024-5.1%+17.0%
2025+3.9%+14.2%
2026+34.4%+11.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 0.75% of VIG is UNP itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are UNP and VIG good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means UNP and VIG share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between UNP and VIG?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between UNP and VIG is 0.58 over 3 years, 0.23 over 1 year and 0.60 over 5 years.

Is VIG a good diversifier for UNP?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means UNP and VIG share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.58 mean?

A reading of 0.58 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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UNP vs VIG: 3-year weekly correlation 0.58UNP vs VIG0.58

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Hubs: UNP correlations · VIG correlations