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UNP vs UPS: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) and United Parcel Service (UPS) carry a correlation of 0.50, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.50
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.47
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.54
long-run
Ann. covariance
301.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are UNP and UPS?

On 3 years of weekly data the UNP/UPS correlation comes out at 0.50, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.47 lands near the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.54, and annualized covariance runs at 301.9 %².

By 3-year correlation, UPS places #20 of the 33 assets tracked against UNP. On 12-month performance UNP holds a 14.2-point edge, +42.4% against +28.2%. On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.24 and 0.66, a moderate band.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

UNP vs UPS: side by side

UNP (Union Pacific Corporation)UPS (United Parcel Service)
1-year return+42.4%+28.2%
5-year return+56.5%-31.0%
Volatility (ann.)20.6%29.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.560.81
Max drawdown (3Y)-17.8%-46.5%
Market cap$182.8B$89.9B
P/E (trailing)25.119.6
Dividend yield1.78%6.21%
Sector / categoryIndustrialsIndustrials
Lower P/E: UPS 19.6 vs 25.1Higher yield: UPS 6.21% vs 1.78%Smaller drawdown: UNP -17.8% vs -46.5%Higher 5y return: UNP +56.5% vs -31.0%
-3%0%+45%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. UNP · UPS

Year-by-year returns

YearUNPUPS
2022-15.9%-16.2%
2023+21.6%-6.0%
2024-5.1%-15.9%
2025+3.9%-15.9%
2026+34.4%+11.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are UNP and UPS good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.50 means UNP and UPS share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between UNP and UPS?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.50 over 3 years, with 0.47 over the last year and 0.54 over 5 years.

Is UPS a good diversifier for UNP?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.50 means UNP and UPS share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.50 mean?

A reading of 0.50 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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UNP vs UPS: 3-year weekly correlation 0.50UNP vs UPS0.50

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Hubs: UNP correlations · UPS correlations