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TMUS vs XLP: Correlation

How closely do T-Mobile US (TMUS) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.35, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.35
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.20
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.40
long-run
Ann. covariance
96.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are TMUS and XLP?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of TMUS and XLP correlate at 0.35, moderate. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.20 versus 0.35 over 3 years. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.40, with an annualized covariance of 96.6 %².

Among the 31 assets we track against TMUS, XLP ranks #14 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with XLP ahead by 36.3 points (-28.0% versus +8.3%). The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.16 and 0.59 over the past three years, a moderate range. Risk is not evenly split, since TMUS carries 2.2 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

TMUS vs XLP: side by side

TMUS (T-Mobile US)XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-28.0%+8.3%
5-year return+34.8%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)24.6%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.360.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-37.1%-9.7%
Market cap$190.7B
P/E (trailing)18.8
Dividend yield2.27%2.58%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$14.6B
Sector / categoryCommunication ServicesSector ETF
Higher yield: XLP 2.58% vs 2.27%Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -37.1%Higher 5y return: TMUS +34.8% vs +34.7%

On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-31%0%+13%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. TMUS · XLP

Year-by-year returns

YearTMUSXLP
2022+20.7%-0.8%
2023+15.0%-0.8%
2024+39.7%+12.2%
2025-6.6%+1.5%
2026-11.6%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are TMUS and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.35 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between TMUS and XLP?

The TMUS/XLP correlation stands at 0.35 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.20, 5 years: 0.40), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLP a good diversifier for TMUS?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.35 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.35 mean?

A reading of 0.35 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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TMUS vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.35TMUS vs XLP0.35

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Hubs: TMUS correlations · XLP correlations