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TMCI vs VXX: Correlation

How closely do Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) and iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.39, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.39
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.51
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.33
long-run
Ann. covariance
-2180.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are TMCI and VXX?

On 3 years of weekly data the TMCI/VXX correlation comes out at -0.39, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The past 12 months show a weaker link (-0.51) than the 3-year average (-0.39). The 5-year figure is -0.33, and annualized covariance runs at -2180.4 %².

Among the 11 assets we track against TMCI, VXX sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #11. On 12-month performance TMCI holds a 11.7-point edge, -38.0% against -49.7%. Note the risk asymmetry: TMCI runs 1.5 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

TMCI vs VXX: side by side

TMCI (Treace Medical Concepts, Inc.)VXX (iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)
1-year return-38.0%-49.7%
5-year return-81.5%-95.6%
Volatility (ann.)92.1%60.9%
Beta vs S&P 5002.37-3.31
Max drawdown (3Y)-92.6%-83.3%
Market cap$0.3B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Smaller drawdown: VXX -83.3% vs -92.6%Higher 5y return: TMCI -81.5% vs -95.6%
-83%0%+11%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. TMCI · VXX

Year-by-year returns

YearTMCIVXX
2022+23.3%-23.8%
2023-44.5%-72.5%
2024-41.6%-26.2%
2025-67.1%-42.2%
2026+87.8%-31.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are TMCI and VXX good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.39, TMCI and VXX have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between TMCI and VXX?

The TMCI/VXX correlation stands at -0.39 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.51, 5 years: -0.33), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is VXX a good diversifier for TMCI?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.39, TMCI and VXX have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.39 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.39 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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TMCI vs VXX: 3-year weekly correlation -0.39TMCI vs VXX-0.39

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Related comparisons

Hubs: TMCI correlations · VXX correlations