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TGT vs WMT: Correlation

Target Corporation (TGT) and Walmart (WMT) show a near-zero relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.09.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.09
near-zero
Correlation (1Y)
0.18
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.36
long-run
Ann. covariance
69.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are TGT and WMT?

On 3 years of weekly data the TGT/WMT correlation comes out at 0.09, near zero, meaning they move largely independently. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.18 lands near the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.36, and annualized covariance runs at 69.4 %².

By 3-year correlation, WMT places #25 of the 35 assets tracked against TGT. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with TGT ahead by 68.5 points (+76.2% versus +7.7%). The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between -0.18 and 0.49 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

TGT vs WMT: side by side

TGT (Target Corporation)WMT (Walmart)
1-year return+76.2%+7.7%
5-year return-22.2%+121.9%
Volatility (ann.)32.0%23.0%
Beta vs S&P 5000.620.53
Max drawdown (3Y)-49.8%-23.3%
Market cap$75.4B$816.7B
P/E (trailing)17.237.1
Dividend yield2.78%0.92%
Sector / categoryConsumer StaplesConsumer Staples
Lower P/E: TGT 17.2 vs 37.1Higher yield: TGT 2.78% vs 0.92%Smaller drawdown: WMT -23.3% vs -49.8%Higher 5y return: WMT +121.9% vs -22.2%
-8%0%+85%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). TGT · WMT

Year-by-year returns

YearTGTWMT
2022-34.2%-0.5%
2023-1.4%+12.9%
2024-2.3%+74.0%
2025-24.5%+24.5%
2026+74.4%-7.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are TGT and WMT good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of 0.09, TGT and WMT have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between TGT and WMT?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between TGT and WMT is 0.09 over 3 years, 0.18 over 1 year and 0.36 over 5 years.

Is WMT a good diversifier for TGT?

Yes. With a correlation of 0.09, TGT and WMT have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of 0.09 mean?

A reading of 0.09 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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TGT vs WMT: 3-year weekly correlation 0.09TGT vs WMT0.09

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Hubs: TGT correlations · WMT correlations