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TD vs VTV: Correlation

How closely do Toronto Dominion Bank (The) (TD) and Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.56, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.56
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.52
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.62
long-run
Ann. covariance
126.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are TD and VTV?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of TD and VTV correlate at 0.56, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.52) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.62, with an annualized covariance of 126.2 %².

Few assets follow TD as closely as VTV, which ranks #3 of 13 tracked partners. The last year tells two different stories: TD led by 35.7 percentage points, +61.4% for TD against +25.7% for VTV. Note the risk asymmetry: TD runs 1.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

TD vs VTV: side by side

TD (Toronto Dominion Bank (The))VTV (Vanguard Value ETF)
1-year return+61.4%+25.7%
5-year return+124.4%+79.1%
Volatility (ann.)19.1%11.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.590.65
Max drawdown (3Y)-19.2%-14.5%
Market cap$198.4B
P/E (trailing)19.4
Dividend yield0.00%1.86%
Expense ratio0.03%
Assets under management$256.4B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Style
Higher yield: VTV 1.86% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: VTV -14.5% vs -19.2%Higher 5y return: TD +124.4% vs +79.1%

On the fund side, VTV sits in the Large Value category at Vanguard, with $256.4B under management, 308 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 1.86% trailing dividend yield.

0%+70%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). TD · VTV

Year-by-year returns

YearTDVTV
2022-12.2%-2.1%
2023+4.6%+9.3%
2024-13.4%+16.0%
2025+83.6%+15.3%
2026+30.4%+19.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are TD and VTV good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.56 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between TD and VTV?

The TD/VTV correlation stands at 0.56 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.52, 5 years: 0.62), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is VTV a good diversifier for TD?

To a limited degree. At 0.56 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.56 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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TD vs VTV: 3-year weekly correlation 0.56TD vs VTV0.56

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Related comparisons

Hubs: TD correlations · VTV correlations