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SHW vs USO: Correlation

How closely do Sherwin-Williams (SHW) and United States Oil Fund (USO) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.43, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.43
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.59
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.23
long-run
Ann. covariance
-418.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are SHW and USO?

Over the past 3 years, SHW and USO moved with a correlation of -0.43, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.59) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.43). Over 5 years the correlation is -0.23, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -418.6 %².

Out of 60 assets tracked against SHW, USO lands near the bottom at #60. The last year tells two different stories: USO led by 79.2 percentage points, -5.1% for SHW against +74.1% for USO. The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between -0.57 and 0.13 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment. Note the risk asymmetry: USO runs 1.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

SHW vs USO: side by side

SHW (Sherwin-Williams)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return-5.1%+74.1%
5-year return+18.3%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)24.6%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.79-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-25.7%-32.5%
Market cap$83.8B
P/E (trailing)31.8
Dividend yield0.91%
Sector / categoryMaterialsETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: SHW -25.7% vs -32.5%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs +18.3%
-19%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). SHW · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearSHWUSO
2022-32.0%+29.0%
2023+32.7%-4.9%
2024+9.9%+13.4%
2025-3.8%-8.5%
2026+7.3%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are SHW and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.43, SHW and USO have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between SHW and USO?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between SHW and USO is -0.43 over 3 years, -0.59 over 1 year and -0.23 over 5 years.

Is USO a good diversifier for SHW?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.43, SHW and USO have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.43 mean?

A reading of -0.43 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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SHW vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.43SHW vs USO-0.43

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Related comparisons

Hubs: SHW correlations · USO correlations