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RFAI vs XLI: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, RF Acquisition Corp II (RFAI) and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) carry a correlation of -0.15, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.15
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.28
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
n/a
long-run
Ann. covariance
-738.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are RFAI and XLI?

On 3 years of weekly data the RFAI/XLI correlation comes out at -0.15, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.28) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.15). The 5-year figure is n/a, and annualized covariance runs at -738.9 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLI places #23 of the 65 assets tracked against RFAI. The last year tells two different stories: RFAI led by 371.2 percentage points, +389.5% for RFAI against +18.3% for XLI. Note the risk asymmetry: RFAI runs 18.4 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

RFAI vs XLI: side by side

RFAI (RF Acquisition Corp II)XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+389.5%+18.3%
5-year returnn/a+84.0%
Volatility (ann.)288.3%15.7%
Beta vs S&P 500-1.620.89
Max drawdown (3Y)-16.5%-18.5%
Market cap$0.4B
P/E (trailing)399.9
Dividend yield0.00%1.15%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$32.9B
Sector / categoryUS ListedSector ETF
Higher yield: XLI 1.15% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: RFAI -16.5% vs -18.5%

XLI is an Industrials fund from State Street Investment Management: $32.9B under management, 83 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.15% trailing dividend yield.

-0%0%+447%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). RFAI · XLI

Year-by-year returns

YearRFAIXLI
2022-5.6%
2023+18.1%
2024+17.3%
2025+5.2%+19.3%
2026+383.6%+15.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are RFAI and XLI good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.15, RFAI and XLI have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between RFAI and XLI?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.15 over 3 years, with -0.28 over the last year and n/a over 5 years.

Is XLI a good diversifier for RFAI?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.15, RFAI and XLI have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.15 mean?

A reading of -0.15 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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RFAI vs XLI: 3-year weekly correlation -0.15RFAI vs XLI-0.15

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Hubs: RFAI correlations · XLI correlations