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RAIL vs VTV: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Freightcar America, Inc. (RAIL) and Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) carry a correlation of 0.41, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.41
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.48
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.39
long-run
Ann. covariance
369.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are RAIL and VTV?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of RAIL and VTV correlate at 0.41, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.48) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.39, with an annualized covariance of 369.5 %².

Few assets follow RAIL as closely as VTV, which ranks #2 of 11 tracked partners. The last year tells two different stories: VTV led by 41.8 percentage points, -16.1% for RAIL against +25.7% for VTV. Note the risk asymmetry: RAIL runs 6.3 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

RAIL vs VTV: side by side

RAIL (Freightcar America, Inc.)VTV (Vanguard Value ETF)
1-year return-16.1%+25.7%
5-year return+36.6%+79.1%
Volatility (ann.)75.3%11.9%
Beta vs S&P 5001.840.65
Max drawdown (3Y)-71.7%-14.5%
Market cap$0.2B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%1.86%
Expense ratio0.03%
Assets under management$256.4B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Style
Higher yield: VTV 1.86% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: VTV -14.5% vs -71.7%Higher 5y return: VTV +79.1% vs +36.6%

On the fund side, VTV sits in the Large Value category at Vanguard, with $256.4B under management, 308 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 1.86% trailing dividend yield.

-13%0%+66%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). RAIL · VTV

Year-by-year returns

YearRAILVTV
2022-13.3%-2.1%
2023-15.6%+9.3%
2024+231.9%+16.0%
2025+23.5%+15.3%
2026-34.6%+19.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are RAIL and VTV good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.41 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between RAIL and VTV?

The RAIL/VTV correlation stands at 0.41 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.48, 5 years: 0.39), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is VTV a good diversifier for RAIL?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.41 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.41 mean?

A reading of 0.41 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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RAIL vs VTV: 3-year weekly correlation 0.41RAIL vs VTV0.41

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Related comparisons

Hubs: RAIL correlations · VTV correlations