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QQQ vs TLT: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) carry a correlation of 0.08, a near-zero link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.08
near-zero
Correlation (1Y)
0.21
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.13
long-run
Ann. covariance
22.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are QQQ and TLT?

On 3 years of weekly data the QQQ/TLT correlation comes out at 0.08, near zero, meaning they move largely independently. Lately the two have moved closer together, with the 1-year correlation at 0.21 versus 0.08 over 3 years. The 5-year figure is 0.13, and annualized covariance runs at 22.0 %².

By 3-year correlation, TLT places #4011 of the 4755 assets tracked against QQQ. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with QQQ ahead by 26.0 points (+26.3% versus +0.3%). Do not treat this figure as fixed: across three years the rolling one-year correlation ranged all the way from -0.33 to 0.48.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

QQQ vs TLT: side by side

QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust)TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
1-year return+26.3%+0.3%
5-year return+95.4%-34.0%
Volatility (ann.)19.6%13.5%
Beta vs S&P 5001.280.11
Max drawdown (3Y)-22.8%-14.8%
Dividend yield0.44%4.75%
Expense ratio0.18%0.15%
Assets under management$452.8B$41.5B
Sector / categoryETF · US Growth & TechETF · Bonds
Lower fee: TLT 0.15% vs 0.18%Higher yield: TLT 4.75% vs 0.44%Smaller drawdown: TLT -14.8% vs -22.8%Higher 5y return: QQQ +95.4% vs -34.0%

QQQ, Invesco's Large Growth fund, carries $452.8B under management, 104 holdings, a 0.18% expense ratio, a 0.44% trailing dividend yield. On the fund side, TLT sits in the Long Government category at iShares, with $41.5B under management, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 4.75% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+29%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. QQQ · TLT

Year-by-year returns

YearQQQTLT
2022-32.6%-31.2%
2023+54.9%+2.8%
2024+25.6%-8.1%
2025+20.8%+4.2%
2026+17.7%-2.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are QQQ and TLT good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of 0.08, QQQ and TLT have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between QQQ and TLT?

The QQQ/TLT correlation stands at 0.08 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.21, 5 years: 0.13), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is TLT a good diversifier for QQQ?

Yes. With a correlation of 0.08, QQQ and TLT have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of 0.08 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.08 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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QQQ vs TLT: 3-year weekly correlation 0.08QQQ vs TLT0.08

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Hubs: QQQ correlations · TLT correlations