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QQQ vs SMCI: Correlation

Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) and Supermicro (SMCI) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.46.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.46
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.41
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.39
long-run
Ann. covariance
958.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are QQQ and SMCI?

Over the past 3 years, QQQ and SMCI moved with a correlation of 0.46, which is moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.41) sits close to the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.39, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 958.9 %².

Within QQQ's tracked universe of 4755 assets, SMCI comes in at #389 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months QQQ outperformed by 40.4 percentage points (+26.3% for QQQ against -14.1% for SMCI). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.31 and 0.57, a moderate band. Note the risk asymmetry: SMCI runs 5.5 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

QQQ vs SMCI: side by side

QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust)SMCI (Supermicro)
1-year return+26.3%-14.1%
5-year return+95.4%+983.4%
Volatility (ann.)19.6%107.1%
Beta vs S&P 5001.283.08
Max drawdown (3Y)-22.8%-84.8%
Market cap$24.9B
P/E (trailing)11.5
Dividend yield0.44%0.00%
Expense ratio0.18%
Assets under management$452.8B
Sector / categoryETF · US Growth & TechInformation Technology
Higher yield: QQQ 0.44% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: QQQ -22.8% vs -84.8%Higher 5y return: SMCI +983.4% vs +95.4%

On the fund side, QQQ sits in the Large Growth category at Invesco, with $452.8B under management, 104 holdings, a 0.18% expense ratio, a 0.44% trailing dividend yield.

-49%0%+31%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. QQQ · SMCI

Year-by-year returns

YearQQQSMCI
2022-32.6%+86.8%
2023+54.9%+246.2%
2024+25.6%+7.2%
2025+20.8%-4.0%
2026+17.7%+31.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are QQQ and SMCI good diversifiers for each other?

A fair diversifier. At 0.46, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

FAQ

What is the correlation between QQQ and SMCI?

The QQQ/SMCI correlation stands at 0.46 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.41, 5 years: 0.39), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is SMCI a good diversifier for QQQ?

A fair diversifier. At 0.46, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

What does a correlation of 0.46 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.46 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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QQQ vs SMCI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.46QQQ vs SMCI0.46

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Hubs: QQQ correlations · SMCI correlations