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PLOW vs SPY: Correlation

Douglas Dynamics, Inc. (PLOW) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) show a weak relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.24.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.24
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.03
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.41
long-run
Ann. covariance
115.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are PLOW and SPY?

On 3 years of weekly data the PLOW/SPY correlation comes out at 0.24, weak. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.03) runs below the 3-year figure (0.24). The 5-year figure is 0.41, and annualized covariance runs at 115.0 %².

Among the 10 assets we track against PLOW, SPY sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #6. The trailing year gives PLOW the advantage: +28.2% versus +20.6%, a 7.6-point spread. Note the risk asymmetry: PLOW runs 2.3 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

PLOW vs SPY: side by side

PLOW (Douglas Dynamics, Inc.)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+28.2%+20.6%
5-year return+30.5%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)32.7%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.551.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-29.6%-18.8%
Market cap$1.0B
P/E (trailing)18.9
Dividend yield2.83%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: PLOW 2.83% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -29.6%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs +30.5%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-10%0%+66%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. PLOW · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearPLOWSPY
2022-4.0%-18.2%
2023-14.7%+26.2%
2024-16.5%+24.9%
2025+43.8%+17.7%
2026+30.9%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are PLOW and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.24, PLOW and SPY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between PLOW and SPY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between PLOW and SPY is 0.24 over 3 years, 0.03 over 1 year and 0.41 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for PLOW?

Reasonably. At 0.24, PLOW and SPY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.24 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.24 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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PLOW vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.24PLOW vs SPY0.24

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Hubs: PLOW correlations · SPY correlations