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PGY vs UPST: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Pagaya Technologies Ltd. - Class A (PGY) and Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) carry a correlation of 0.54, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.54
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.74
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.20
long-run
Ann. covariance
4202.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are PGY and UPST?

On 3 years of weekly data the PGY/UPST correlation comes out at 0.54, moderate. The past 12 months show a tighter link (0.74) than the 3-year average (0.54). The 5-year figure is 0.20, and annualized covariance runs at 4202.2 %².

Few assets follow PGY as closely as UPST, which ranks #1 of 11 tracked partners. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with PGY ahead by 23.2 points (-33.0% versus -56.2%).

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

PGY vs UPST: side by side

PGY (Pagaya Technologies Ltd. - Class A)UPST (Upstart Holdings, Inc.)
1-year return-33.0%-56.2%
5-year return-79.9%-85.9%
Volatility (ann.)86.1%91.0%
Beta vs S&P 5002.493.51
Max drawdown (3Y)-75.7%-72.7%
Market cap$1.9B$3.0B
P/E (trailing)15.958.6
Dividend yield0.00%0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Lower P/E: PGY 15.9 vs 58.6Smaller drawdown: UPST -72.7% vs -75.7%Higher 5y return: PGY -79.9% vs -85.9%
-71%0%+14%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. PGY · UPST

Year-by-year returns

YearPGYUPST
2022-87.5%-91.3%
2023+11.3%+209.1%
2024-43.9%+50.7%
2025+125.0%-29.0%
2026+11.3%-30.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are PGY and UPST good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.54 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between PGY and UPST?

The PGY/UPST correlation stands at 0.54 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.74, 5 years: 0.20), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is UPST a good diversifier for PGY?

To a limited degree. At 0.54 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.54 mean?

A reading of 0.54 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/pgy-vs-upst.json

PGY vs UPST: 3-year weekly correlation 0.54PGY vs UPST0.54

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Related comparisons

Hubs: PGY correlations · UPST correlations