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PEP vs XLP: Correlation

How closely do PepsiCo (PEP) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.68, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.68
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.69
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.73
long-run
Ann. covariance
143.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are PEP and XLP?

On 3 years of weekly data the PEP/XLP correlation comes out at 0.68, strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.69 lands near the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.73, and annualized covariance runs at 143.7 %².

Few assets follow PEP as closely as XLP, which ranks #1 of 38 tracked partners. The trailing year gives XLP the advantage: -1.6% versus +8.3%, a 9.9-point spread. On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.54 and 0.87, a moderate band. Risk is not evenly split, since PEP carries 1.7 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

PEP vs XLP: side by side

PEP (PepsiCo)XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-1.6%+8.3%
5-year return+4.9%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)19.1%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.130.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-27.5%-9.7%
Market cap$190.9B
P/E (trailing)18.6
Dividend yield4.04%2.58%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$14.6B
Sector / categoryConsumer StaplesSector ETF
Higher yield: PEP 4.04% vs 2.58%Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -27.5%Higher 5y return: XLP +34.7% vs +4.9%

On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-5%0%+18%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. PEP · XLP

Year-by-year returns

YearPEPXLP
2022+6.8%-0.8%
2023-3.3%-0.8%
2024-7.6%+12.2%
2025-1.8%+1.5%
2026-0.7%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

PEP represents 4.39% of XLP's portfolio, so part of any move in XLP is PEP itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are PEP and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.68 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between PEP and XLP?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.68 over 3 years, with 0.69 over the last year and 0.73 over 5 years.

Is XLP a good diversifier for PEP?

To a limited degree. At 0.68 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.68 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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PEP vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.68PEP vs XLP0.68

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Hubs: PEP correlations · XLP correlations