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PAYX vs XLI: Correlation

Paychex (PAYX) and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.30.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.30
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
-0.15
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.52
long-run
Ann. covariance
101.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are PAYX and XLI?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of PAYX and XLI correlate at 0.30, moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.15) runs below the 3-year figure (0.30). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.52, with an annualized covariance of 101.3 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLI places #26 of the 37 assets tracked against PAYX. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with XLI ahead by 23.1 points (-4.8% versus +18.3%). The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between -0.11 and 0.77 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

PAYX vs XLI: side by side

PAYX (Paychex)XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-4.8%+18.3%
5-year return+29.0%+84.0%
Volatility (ann.)21.3%15.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.470.89
Max drawdown (3Y)-45.0%-18.5%
Market cap$45.0B
P/E (trailing)25.5
Dividend yield0.00%1.15%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$32.9B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsSector ETF
Higher yield: XLI 1.15% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: XLI -18.5% vs -45.0%Higher 5y return: XLI +84.0% vs +29.0%

XLI is an Industrials fund from State Street Investment Management: $32.9B under management, 83 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.15% trailing dividend yield.

-36%0%+25%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). PAYX · XLI

Year-by-year returns

YearPAYXXLI
2022-13.2%-5.6%
2023+6.2%+18.1%
2024+21.3%+17.3%
2025-17.5%+19.3%
2026+16.6%+15.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

PAYX represents 0.71% of XLI's portfolio, so part of any move in XLI is PAYX itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are PAYX and XLI good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.30, PAYX and XLI keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between PAYX and XLI?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between PAYX and XLI is 0.30 over 3 years, -0.15 over 1 year and 0.52 over 5 years.

Is XLI a good diversifier for PAYX?

Reasonably. At 0.30, PAYX and XLI keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.30 mean?

A reading of 0.30 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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PAYX vs XLI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.30PAYX vs XLI0.30

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Related comparisons

Hubs: PAYX correlations · XLI correlations