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OSBC vs SPY: Correlation

How closely do Old Second Bancorp, Inc. (OSBC) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.36, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.36
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.14
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.33
long-run
Ann. covariance
140.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are OSBC and SPY?

Over the past 3 years, OSBC and SPY moved with a correlation of 0.36, which is moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.14) than the 3-year average (0.36). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.33, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 140.3 %².

Within OSBC's tracked universe of 11 assets, SPY comes in at #6 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with OSBC ahead by 16.8 points (+37.4% versus +20.6%). Risk is not evenly split, since OSBC carries 1.8 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

OSBC vs SPY: side by side

OSBC (Old Second Bancorp, Inc.)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+37.4%+20.6%
5-year return+130.4%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)26.8%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.671.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-25.5%-18.8%
Market cap$1.3B
P/E (trailing)14.6
Dividend yield1.07%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: OSBC 1.07% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -25.5%Higher 5y return: OSBC +130.4% vs +82.4%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-8%0%+42%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. OSBC · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearOSBCSPY
2022+29.2%-18.2%
2023-2.4%+26.2%
2024+16.7%+24.9%
2025+11.3%+17.7%
2026+30.3%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are OSBC and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.36 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between OSBC and SPY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between OSBC and SPY is 0.36 over 3 years, 0.14 over 1 year and 0.33 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for OSBC?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.36 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.36 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.36 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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OSBC vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.36OSBC vs SPY0.36

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Hubs: OSBC correlations · SPY correlations